Most of his goals have come against the worst teams this season so it Degsy is backing him to score and Man United to win at West Brom this weekend...
Degsy thinks Arsenal will slip up in their tough trip to Stoke, but Chelsea and Spurs should find things pretty easy against basement strugglers Fulham and Cardiff...
Manchester City v Arsenal
Do you have a house? Sell it. Sell it now and back Manchester City to win the early kick-off on Saturday. The Citizens have the best home attack (29 goals) and the best defence (just two shipped) in the league. They are 100% at the Etihad, where they have scored a mind-boggling 25 goals in their last five matches. If that's not enough they have an extra day's rest ahead of this one having vanquished the European champions in Munich on Tuesday. In contrast Arsenal went life-and-death with Napoli on Wednesday night and only just managed to qualify for the knock-out stages of the Champions League after a 2-0 reverse. I'm going 'all in' here. Should this lose (it won't) Christmas is almost certainly cancelled this year.
Betting: Manchester City to win at 5/6 (bet365/Paddy Power/Stan James)
Cardiff v West Brom
Two teams in freefall and the Baggies were heavily criticised this week for letting their players go on a Christmas drinking session in Dublin despite losing three times inside a week. Shane Long came in for some stick for 'busking' on the streets. That's pretty tame. Two years ago at a Christmas booze-up I was vilified by senior management for setting fire to my bum crack hair in a busy bar in Middlesbrough. Draw.
Betting: Cardiff and West Brom to draw at 12/5 (bet365/Bet Victor)
Chelsea v Crystal Palace
Jose Mourinho played down Chelsea's title prospects in the wake of their shock 3-2 defeat at Stoke but he will be expecting a reaction here against Palace. The Eagles have put together a couple of fine results over the past few weeks but should be fodder for the Blues, whose forwards are far more capable at home than they are away (where no Chelsea striker has scored in the league for over a year). I think this should be a cruise and feel there is mileage in backing the Blues on the handicap.
Betting: Chelsea (-2) to beat Crystal Palace at 7/5 (Paddy Power)
Everton v Fulham
Here's a stat. Fulham have lost their last 20 in a row at Goodison Park, where Everton are 2/5 this weekend. The Toffees are currently fifth in the table but could finish Saturday as high as second if other results go their way. In Ross Barkley the hosts have arguably the brightest emerging talent in British football for a generation but it's forgotten man Leon Osman who interests me here. He looks a shoe-in to play instead of James McCarthy and Osman has weighed in with his fair share of goals for the Merseysiders down the years so might be worth a punt each-way at 12s in the first goalscorer market.
Betting: Osman to score first (each-way) at 12/1 (Ladbrokes)
Newcastle United v Southampton
Not an easy game to call this. The Mags have a fine recent home record against Southampton but the Saints put in a decent shift against Manchester City last weekend and so won't be fazed by a trip to Tyneside. You could make a case for all three results but I do think this will be an attacking game with both teams looking to have a go so backing both teams to score is probably the way to go.
Betting: Both teams to score at 3/4 (Ladbrokes)
West Ham v Sunderland
Absolutely huge game at the bottom though I wouldn't be rushing to back the Hammers at around evens. Sunderland's away form might be turgid but Big Sam's men have been woeful themselves since that stunning 3-0 win on the road at Spurs and with Kevin Nolan suspended it's not easy to make a case for them here. The pressure is building on Allardyce and both teams may be sent out with the instruction 'not to lose'. If that's the case then current 10/1 quotes about nobody scoring in East London could look huge at 5pm on Saturday.
Betting: No Goalscorer at 10/1 (Bet Victor)
Hull City v Stoke
Another live game but this one will surely only be watched by Hull fans, Stoke fans and football sadists. Another two teams struggling for goals and I was stunned to see the Magic Sign going as big as 15/8 that that there will be less than two goals at the KC Stadium. I'll have a piece of that, but still won't be watching what I anticipate will be a real throbber of a game.
Betting: Under 1.5 goals at 15/8 (Ladbrokes)
Aston Villa v Manchester United
Six wins, four draws and five defeats shows just how inconsistent ManYoo have been in the league so far this season. And you can forget about backing them at 4/5 here. Id rather have a leg off. Against Newcastle last Saturday there were too many players who simply did not want the ball. It was strange to see and I do feel there is a lack of confidence in the side now. Villa are no great shakes but it wouldn't surprise me if they claimed all three points here to crank up the pressure on Mr Moyes who, like the Christmas turkey, could be surplus to requirements come the New Year.
Betting: Aston Villa to win at 4/1 (Betfred/Coral/Sky Bet)
Norwich City v Swansea City
The edge is with the Canaries here who know a win would put clear daylight between themselves and those salty auld seadogs down at the bottom. I can't get excited by current 15/8 quotes though so will instead try a Hail Mary correct score punt. Just because I can...
Betting: Norwich to win 5-1 at 250/1 (Paddy Power)
Tottenham v Liverpool
Big game to end the weekend and I've had made a case for Liverpool but for the fact that Stevie G is out. 6/4 about Spurs looks plenty acceptable to me, especially when you factor in that Robert Soldado should be full of beans after his midweek Europa League hat-trick. It's also worth taking into account the fact that Spurs have won their last six against the Reds at White Hart Lane in all competitions.
Betting: Tottenham to win at 6/4 (Coral/Betfred/Hills/Stan James)
Well impressive- especially the Osman and West Ham nil-nil. Hope you were on them yoursef- macduff