Numbers Game

The Numbers Game returns and Swansea (7/2 DNB) are a massive price to sink Liverpool on Sunday.

Last Updated: 15/02/13 at 16:37

Swansea: Too good a price to ignore

Swansea: Too good a price to ignore

The popular betting blog is back after a two-week absence and @MattPBriggs fancies Swansea to make it five wins on the spin for the in-form Value Bet.

The bookies have some conflicting viewpoints ahead of the weekend's FA Cup action and the Banker, Famous Last Words and the Treatment Room are back as well as all the usual pointers and statistics.


VALUE BET

Swansea to beat Liverpool DNB at 7/2 (Sun, 3pm)

Seventh-placed Swansea are a terrific price (7/2) to win DNB at ninth-placed Liverpool on Sunday. The Swans won 3-1 at Anfield in the Capital One Cup in October and in the three Premier League meetings since Swansea were promoted Liverpool are yet to score against them. Liverpool were turned over by West Brom last Monday and they were beaten by Zenit on Thursday night and they look vulnerable against a Swansea side playing for their cup final places.

STEAMERS

Sky Bet say Millwall are popular at evens to overcome their Conference opponents Luton in Saturday's early FA Cup game.

On Saturday unsurprisingly Arsenal (2/7) at home to Blackburn and Everton (1/3) away at Oldham are dominating the multiple business. The popular five-fold covering including Chelsea, Manchester City and Manchester Utd pays just over 9/5 and is wrapping up liabilities at an alarming rate! If you throw in Liverpool who are in Premier League action - (1/2 v Swansea) the payout is just over 3/1.

WHO'S HOT

Barnsley (19/10) won last three in Championship and travel to MK Dons (11/8) in cup.

Yeovil (11/10) won last seven in League One and host Scunthorpe (23/10).

Bournemouth (11/10) won last five and travel to Preston (12/5).

Scunthorpe (23/10) won last three in League One and travel to Yeovil (11/10).

WHO'S NOT

Millwall (evens) lost last four in Championship and travel to Luton (11/4) in cup.

Nottingham Forest (6/5) lost last three in Championship and host Bolton (21/10).

Preston (12/5) lost last three in League One and host Bournemouth (11/10).

Oxford (13/8) lost last three in League Two and travel to Plymouth (8/5).

Torquay (12/5) lost last three in League Two and travel to Rochdale (21/20).

TRADERS' VIEW

Sky Bet: Luton v Millwall will be a fiercely contested encounter and there is sure to be a hostile atmosphere given the history between the two sides and, given Luton have already knocked out Wolves and Norwich, the 11/4 on a home victory looks tempting.

It is hard on the face of it to see a major shock coming in the FA Cup and even though Leeds knocked Spurs out in the last round it is hard to see them going to Premier League champions Manchester City and winning and can be backed at 14/1 to do so.

Huddersfield play their first game under new manager Mark Robins and may be a touch of value at 12/5 to dispose of Wigan who are sure to rest players for the Premier League relegation battle.

BOGEY TEAMS

Liverpool (1/2) have not scored against Swansea (19/4) in three previous Premier League meetings.

Cardiff (1/2) won six of last seven at home v Bristol City (11/2).

Birmingham (9/5) won seven of last eight at home v Watford (7/5).

BANKER

Walsall to beat Notts County at 11/10

Walsall have won their last five games at home and warrant support at 11/10 to topple Notts County. The visitors have won just two of their last 11 games and could face a struggle at the Banks's Stadium.

HOT-SHOTS

Walsall's Febian Brandy has three in his last five and is 11/8 to score v Notts County.

Yeovil's Paddy Madden has nine in his last six and is 8/11 to score v Scunthorpe.

TREATMENT ROOM

Northampton to win at Southend at 19/10

Southend defenders Chris Barker (calf) and Mark Phillips (toe) will continue to miss out, along with the suspended Ryan Cresswell. Leading scorer Gavin Tomlin is not expected to return from his thigh problem until next month, while Michael Timlin (broken leg) is ruled out for the rest of the season. Midfielder Marc Laird picked up a hamstring injury during the first half of Tuesday night's 2-1 defeat to Cheltenham and misses out, as does Caolan Lavery (hamstring). Meanwhile, Kevan Hurst was absent from training on Thursday due to a virus.

Luton to beat Millwall DNB at 13/8

Millwall boss Kenny Jackett will be without cup-tied duo Benik Afobe and Martyn Woolford. On-loan Derby forward Nathan Tyson remains sidelined with ankle ligament damage, while injured midfielder Chris Taylor is no closer to making a return to first-team action.

Huddersfield to beat Wigan at 12/5

Huddersfield defender Peter Clarke and on-loan midfielder Neil Danns will return to contention for new manager Mark Robins' first game in charge. Alex Smithies is expected to return to the side following a family bereavement. Right-back Jack Hunt, midfielder Oliver Norwood and striker James Vaughan, all rested by starting on the substitutes' bench in midweek, will also return to contention.

FAMOUS LAST WORDS

Torquay to win at Rochdale 12/5

After the midweek 3-1 defeat by Rochdale, Torquay boss Shaun Taylor said: "We are very disappointed but again it was another very good first-half performance. We conceded the goal just after half-time and that's made it difficult. Michael (Poke) has put his hand up for that one."

You can follow me on Twitter at @MattPBriggs

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