Take Bayern to edge to victory

Bayern Munich look worthy favourites for the Champions League final, but it's likely to be close, says our tipster Andy Schooler.

Last Updated: 25/05/13 at 19:41 Post Comment

Bayern Munich: Can add another trophy to the cabinet at Wembley

Bayern Munich: Can add another trophy to the cabinet at Wembley

Bayern Munich will go into Saturday's Champions League final as pretty hot favourites.

There are plenty of reasons for that, first and foremost the fact that Bayern have won 24 of their last 26 matches, a run which included a two-legged demolition of long-time trophy favourites Barcelona in the semi-finals.

While things look rosy in the Bayern camp, the same cannot be said for Dortmund, who arrive at Wembley without a win in their last four games and minus one of their star players in the Bayern-bound Mario Goetze.

Indeed Goetze's absence, announced earlier this week, arguably saw the last of the value drain from Bayern in the market.

They are now odds-on across the board in the 90-minute betting; Dortmund are out at 4/1.

While Bayern do look worthy favourites, I'm not convinced there should be such a gap between the sides in the market.

Anyone with a brain knows Dortmund are far from a one-man team and while Goetze's absence weakens them, it would be folly to rule them out on the basis of that.

If you also consider that this game may well have been weighing heavily on players' minds, you can also explain, to some extent, Dortmund's recent poor run.

If you are considering wading into Bayern at the prices, it's certainly worth noting that they've won just two of their last nine against Dortmund.

Previous games between the pair have seen Jurgen Klopp's men stifle Bayern's strength out wide with the likes of Franck Ribery and Arjen Robben given plenty of close attention. Wary of Bayern's ability on the break, expect similar tactics to be employed on Saturday.

Klopp hasn't hasn't simply been linked with top jobs for his vibrant persona; tactically he's done plenty right in seeing off the likes of Manchester City, another side who saw their big names shackled, and Real Madrid en route to this Wembley showdown.

So where does my money go?

Having concluded Bayern are favourites but are probably shorter than they should be, backing them to win by a one-goal margin is arguably the best bet. This option is offered at 14/5.

A look at recent results between the sides also helps support this selection, as does the fact they've managed to lose two CL finals in the last three years, knowledge which may way heavily on a side expected to win.

The finalists have met seven times in the past two seasons with the games nearly always tight - only one of them has been settled by more than one goal.

While Dortmund enjoyed success in some of those last term, this season Bayern are unbeaten and have won twice by a one-goal margin - significantly both victories were in cup ties.

This seems the sensible way to approach the season-ending finale, a game which normally provides plenty of its own entertainment.

  • The final kicks off at 1945 BST on Saturday and is being televised live in the UK on Sky Sports.


Get a free £10 bet on the Champions League final!


Related News

Most Commented

Readers' Comments

H

ilarious, thanks for that. But if I may, I do suspect the reason of your partners' ire is not Tottenham, but most probably all the compusilve gambling :)

DannySmith
Backing Costa To Keep Banging 'Em In

T

wo police horses in a paddock. Horse 1: What's with the long face? Horse 2: I'm working St James Park this weekend.

hump3.
Pardew braced for protests

T

wo things. First, I can't stop reading your name as 'Dane Bowers'. Second, you used the words 'philosophy' and 'Redknapp' in the same sentence.

ajsr1982
Can United's Defence Handle Ulloa?

Footer 365

No concerns over Steven Gerrard, says Liverpool manager Brendan Rodgers

Brendan Rodgers remains confident that Liverpool skipper Steven Gerrard will continue to deliver at the highest level.

Arsenal boss Arsene Wenger hails strength of Abou Diaby ahead of return

Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger has hailed the strength of character in Abou Diaby following his latest injury comeback.

Premier League: Brendan Rodgers says Mario Balotelli is a 'good guy'

Liverpool boss Brendan Rodgers says he is enjoying working with Mario Balotelli.

Mail Box

Will Rodgers Finally Drop Gerrard?

The mailbox wants to know if Brendan Rodgers has the stones to drop Steven Gerrard. Plus, thoughts on Wayne Rooney's display, sitting down, and thanking United fans...

Clattenburg And Assistants Should Be Suspended

It's a Mailbox containing Manchester United fans taking defeat to Leicester pretty well, plus some long thoughts on Gerrard and Liverpool, plus Southampton congratulations...

© 2014 British Sky Broadcasting Ltd. All Rights Reserved A Sky Sports Digital Media property