Footballer turned bookie rep Dale Tempest wonders how the Manchester clubs will respond this weekend and picks out his best bets.
Former professional footballer Dale Tempest is now a bookie public relations man - he's very much got his finger on the pulse of the markets as both a punter and an oddsmaker.
Fulham, Huddersfield and Colchester were among his clubs during a 16-year career so he knows exactly how the game is played.
These days in his role at Sky Bet - you may have seen him on Sky Sports News - he's looking at things from a different perspective.
His regular Friday column explores the mindset of the bookies and highlights the best bets for the weekend's Premier League action.
This week he feels the Manchester clubs may well respond differently to recent adversity.
It's not been a great period for the Manchester clubs and when placing your bets this week you have to consider how they will bounce back from recent disappointments. Good players need to have a look in the mirror sometimes and respond quickly with a positive performance and I think that's what will happen with City against Everton. They've scored in 50-odd games in a row at home and they've got so much quality that I think they will respond and get a result against an Everton side for whom Gareth Barry is a big miss. Manuel Pellegrini got things so wrong tactically in midweek against Bayern Munich but I don't think he'll make the same mistake against Everton.
For United, on the other hand, things look more negative ahead of their trip to Sunderland. They've been under-performing all season - it's not just been about one or two bad performances. There seems to be a lack of quality and fire in this United side and I wouldn't be backing them against anybody at 8/15 right now.
When I look at the Premier League fixtures these days I see so many teams who would take a point if offered it so most weekends I have a small draw Trixie - that's one treble and three doubles in total. It only really needs to come off once a season to make money. These are the matches I'm picking this week. All six managers would take a point now, in my opinion. I'm looking at teams who have had a half-decent start and want to maintain it - the likes of Hull, Villa and Cardiff. And then also teams who need to find a response. Away from home, Newcastle and Stoke both fall into that category and a draw for them wouldn't be the worst result in the world.
It was fascinating to hear Arsene Wenger have a slight pop at Jack Wilshere on Friday. He's underperformed compared to expectations and what he may well need is somebody to tell him. I know there are only so many times you can put your arm around someone's shoulder. His team are playing well and it shows the standards Arsenal are trying to set that Wenger has done that. In my day, it was mostly stick rather than carrot. I remember at Huddersfield our manager, Mick Buxton, wouldn't have long-sleeve shirts - he said they gave the impression we were soft! Arsenal will be well backed in the match betting but an angle many won't have spotted comes in the scorer markets. I saw plenty of West Brom's win at Manchester United and Morgan Amalfitano again caught the eye. He's 18/1 for the first goal in this one which looks a massive price. He's scored in both appearances so far, against Sunderland and United, and also takes free kicks. When it comes to penalties, there's no obvious taker so I wouldn't be surprised to see him step up if the Baggies get a spot kick.
My best bet of the weekend comes at St Mary's - under goals in Southampton v Swansea. All six Southampton games so far have been under the 2.5 goal line, while all three of Swansea's away matches have too. 5/6 looks more than a fair price to me when you also consider these are two teams who may well cancel each other out.