Andy Schooler expects Everton to win at West Brom in Monday night's Barclays Premier League clash.
Everton have one of the meanest defences in the league and the Baggies have been struggling for goals which means Andy can only see this game going one way.
Punters can tend to place a lot of faith in the new manager 'bounce' effect.
The theory is that teams, or rather their players, suddenly find something extra upon the arrival of a new manager, eager to earn the new man's faith.
While some evidence can be provided to prove this, what isn't in doubt is that the 'bounce' effect is overplayed in the media and subsequently by punters and fans.
And just take a look at what's happened this season at the clubs around the Baggies who have also pulled the trigger and turned to a new man.
Tony Pulis' first game in charge of Palace brought a 1-0 defeat at Norwich; Sunderland, under Gus Poyet, tumbled to a 4-0 loss at Swansea; and Fulham, having replaced Martin Jol with Rene Meulensteen, lost at home to Spurs in the new man's first match at the helm.
It is worth keeping this in mind when it comes to Monday's Premier League game between West Brom and Everton which sees Pepe Mel take charge of the Baggies for the first time.
Having had a week to introduce his ideas, Mel should have his team well prepared. The problem is they are undoubtedly up against a very good side in this game and the Spaniard's arrival at The Hawthorns isn't enough to turn me away from the Blues.
One of the many factors Roberto Martinez has improved at Everton is their away form. They've only lost at Manchester City (who hasn't?) and they have already collected 17 away points. That's just four fewer than they earned in the whole of last season under David Moyes.
In the last six weeks they've won at Manchester United, drawn at Arsenal, beaten Swansea and last time out earned a late point at Stoke.
A solid defence, the joint best in the top flight, has been retained from the Moyes era and always makes them difficult to beat. Recently, they've only conceded six goals in their 10 games since that crazy Merseyside derby back in November.
That's a defensive record which has been achieved even without Phil Jagielka and Sylvain Distin at times, with youngster John Stones impressing when given his chance. Jagielka, undoubtedly one of the league's best defenders, is now back and with West Brom having struggled for goals, the 16/5 on offer about an away win to nil looks tempting.
The Toffees have posted such wins at Manchester United and Aston Villa this season and should have done the same at Cardiff where a poor decision denied them a penalty in a game they dominated but only drew 0-0.
Everton have won four and lost just one of the last six meetings with West Brom in all competitions.
WBA (9) and Everton (8) have drawn more games than any other team in the Premier League this season.
Everton defenders have contributed 10 goals this season, as many as West Brom's strikers have (10) and more than the strikers at 11 other clubs.
- The match is being televised live in the UK by Sky Sports.