Chelsea have 43.747% chance of getting Barcelona

Chelsea’s 1-1 draw with Atletico Madrid which condemned them to second place in their group has given them a 43.747% chance of drawing Barcelona in the last 16.

Of course, if Chelsea’s name is first out of the hat (not an actual hat) on Monday, they will have an equal chance of drawing Barcelona, PSG or Besiktas, but Barcelona’s need to avoid Spanish teams Real Madrid and Sevilla, and Chelsea’s limitations caused by four English group winners, means that is by far the likeliest draw of the round.

The Premier League’s other representatives have far more possibilities in the next round, with one of Manchester City, Tottenham, Liverpool or Manchester United very likely to draw Juventus.