We’ve ranked the top-flight managers by their chance of being shown – or showing themselves to – the door, starting with the favourite, according to the best odds currently available at oddschecker.com.
1) Antonio Conte
If that press conference after that performance doesn’t get Antonio Conte the sack then nothing will. There are no happy participants remaining in this thoroughly doomed union and the only uncertainty is whether club, fanbase and manager can last to the end of the season hate-f***ing each other.
2) David Moyes
A West Ham team that finished sixth then seventh in the Premier League in the previous two seasons, spent £150m in the summer on players like Lucas Paqueta and Gianluca Scamacca, and lost no players of great significance, should not be in a relegation fight.
Still feels like it must surely be a matter of time, though it still seems that West Ham are not planning on sacking Moyes yet. Falling out with his new signings is just the latest fun.
3) Brendan Rodgers
Wins over Villa and Spurs eased the pressure but five defeats on the bounce ramped it back up again more than ever. Still remains the case that the Foxes will have to be really, really bad for the board to sack Rodgers as they can’t really afford his £10m pay-out. A mid-table finish will do just fine and that remains very achievable with the squad at his disposal. Though we kind of think he should then walk.
4) Graham Potter
It’s certainly been a difficult start for Potter at Chelsea. Not that he’ll receive much sympathy. Or indeed any from the morons sending him and his family threats. Having made the huge step up from Brighton he’s had multiple injuries and daft suspensions to deal with, while attempting to get the best out of an imbalanced and ever-growing squad of players.
Chelsea supporters have hardly helped but Todd Boehly and the board continue to back Potter both through statements released to the press and in the transfer market. There is plenty of work to do to integrate all the new recruits and turn Chelsea into something far more formidable than a mid-table outfit. Even those shoots of optimism after three wins on the bounce were ended by a home draw with Everton.
5) Steve Cooper
Three points clear of the relegation zone at the start of March, which they surely would have taken in August, but defeats to Tottenham and Newcastle hurt for different reasons.
6) Gary O’Neil
Heartbreak at Arsenal was followed by a similarly impressive performance against Liverpool, with the result to boot. Incredible that Bournemouth aren’t rock bottom.
7) Ruben Selles
Appointed until the end of the season by Southampton, defeat to Leeds United was damaging but earning a point from 3-1 down to Spurs with 16 minutes remaining was a fantastic result.
8) Jurgen Klopp
Are we in the Klopp/Liverpool endgame? There are whispers that the club are feeling ‘samesy’ towards him, and that was even before the Anfield humiliation at the hands of Real Madrid. Julian Nagelsmann is the name mentioned as a replacement. Then they beat Manchester United 7-0 before losing 1-0 to Bournemouth. We’re baffled. But another Champions League exit to Madrid-based opposition doesn’t seem to have cranked up the pressure just yet.
9) Julen Lopetegui
Prior to turning over a dreadful Liverpool side, Wolves had beaten the teams they’re supposed to beat, lost to the teams they’re supposed to lose to and drawn with the side on a similar path under fellow Spanish saviour Unai Emery. Coming from behind to defeat Saints plunged one team further into the relegation mire while opening up a five-point gap to the bottom three, but a home defeat to Bournemouth was careless. Beating Spurs was excellent, though, and they appeared to be the one team in that bottom nine who might be able to drag themselves properly clear before it all gets too unbearably tense and unpleasant. Then they lost 4-2 to Leeds while having two players sent off, one of whom didn’t even play.
10) Unai Emery
It would be quite difficult to do less than Steven Gerrard with what is a pretty well-stocked squad. But he had actually done better than every manager bar Mikel Arteta since taking over. Then Leicester turned up. Defeat at Manchester City is fair enough, but defeat to former employers Arsenal and the manner of it will sting. But they’re back on track after wins over Everton, Palace and Bournemouth.
11) Javi Gracia
We’re certain Leeds will be better with Gracia than they were without him, but not so sure about whether that is going to be enough to mean an awful lot. A win over Wolves really does help.
12) Marco Silva
There is far, far more danger of Silva being poached than being sacked as the Cottagers have performed beyond any expectations.
13) Sean Dyche
Everton have been turned Dyche very quickly and now look in little danger of being relegated. It’s not pretty, but who cares? Other than Johnny Nic…
14) Thomas Frank
In no danger of the sack, of course. He’s built a proper Premier League squad that plays entertaining football on a shoestring budget. Presumably his odds are (relatively) short because he could be a target for any number of clubs – Chelsea have been mentioned – whose managers are more precariously placed. But if they’re Premier League clubs, he won’t be the next manager to leave anyway. But he could very easily be the next next manager to leave if you move fast enough after Moyes, Potter or whoever gets the old Spanish archer.
15) Eddie Howe
Took Newcastle from 19th to a comfortable mid-table finish last season and now has them well in with a shout of qualifying for the Champions League, spending smart money on players who have immediately improved the first XI. Stage Two will cost a pretty penny, but a taste of Wembley seems to have given the owners further motivation to do/pay whatever it takes. Will Howe be around for that stage?
16) Erik ten Hag
He appears to have fixed the unfixable. It was assumed there was no manager would could succeed at Manchester United while the Glazers remain, but Ten Hag has taken hold of a shambles of a squad and turned them into cup winners, ending a six-year silverware drought.
17) Roberto De Zerbi
Can Brighton do no wrong? They sold their two best players from last season and got better, then lost one of the best young managers around, and again, seem to have got better. Even without their leading scorer, they battered Liverpool and their disappointment in drawing with Leicester, Crystal Palace and Leeds is a pretty good indication as to how far they’ve come.
18) Mikel Arteta
It now feels as though the only way Arteta is leaving Arsenal is if Barcelona come calling. And even they will have to wait. Love him or hate him, he is doing an extraordinary job.
19) Pep Guardiola
“If I defend the people and the club it’s because I work with them. When I asked about suspicions or if our people have done something, then I say to them, ‘tell me’. I said to them ‘if you lie to me, the day after I’m not here, I will be out and you will not be my friend any more.’ But I look at them and believe them 100 per cent from day one. So I defend the club because of that.”
Those odds shortened significantly in the immediate aftermath of the Man City charges? Guardiola was second favourite to leave next at one point. But the dust has settled, any punishment will take years to be doled out and the manager has doubled down on the siege mentality.