Ranking Premier League teams by XG since the restart

Premier League form since the restart – as measured by Understat.

20) Norwich
xPTS: 2.67
Actual points: 0

Frankly f***ed.

19) Bournemouth
xPTS: 2.74
Actual points: 0

See above.

18) Watford
xPTS: 2.84
Actual points: 1

Hanging on somehow.

17) Burnley
xPTS: 3.64
Actual points: 7

Proudly over-performing. They had literally one shot at Man City.

16) Crystal Palace
xPTS: 4.1
Actual points: 3

Poor since the re-start but they should have beaten Burnley.

15) Sheffield United
xPTS: 4.44
Actual points: 5

In amongst the rabble at last.

14) West Ham United
xPTS: 4.64
Actual points: 4

Pulling themselves out of the mire.

13) Everton
xPTS: 4.83
Actual points: 7

Rotten against Spurs and that might be their true level.

12) Southampton
xPTS: 4.96
Actual points: 9

They ‘beat’ Manchester City by 0.63 goals to 3.40.

11) Tottenham
xPTS: 4.96
Actual points: 7

Pretty awful but picked up as many points as Liverpool since the restart.

10) Brighton
xPTS: 5.59
Actual points: 7

Eased away from trouble.

9) Liverpool
xPTS: 6.27
Actual points: 7

Mid-table form.

8) Newcastle United
xPTS: 6.44
Actual points: 8

Steve Bruce > Jurgen Klopp.

7) Leicester City
xPTS: 6.49
Actual points: 5

Better than we think clearly.

6) Wolves
xPTS: 6.71
Actual points: 9

Sixth in all of the tables.

5) Chelsea
xPTS: 7.57
Actual points: 9

Barring West Ham, this has been a breeze.

4) Aston Villa
xPTS: 7.62
Actual points: 2

Astonishing. No finishers and poor goalkeepers might see them relegated.

3) Arsenal
xPTS: 8.15
Actual points: 9

Things are looking up.

2) Manchester United
xPTS: 9.66
Actual points: 10

Getting pretty much exactly what they deserve.

1) Manchester City
xPTS: 11.16
Actual points: 9

The perennial runaway xG champions.